Where the water is
How much Lake Travis could rise from the water on its way, and the rivers feeding the Highland Lakes drawn as wide as the water in them.
How much the lake could rise
The rivers' water, delayed by its trip to the lake, against what Mansfield Dam releases, through the lake's storage curve.
Working out what the rivers would do to the lake…
Llano River near Junction and Llano River near Mason are above action stage
Stages as of Oct 1, 1:41 PM
Heading for Lake Travis
336 cfs
667 acre-feet a day, under an inch a day of lake rise at 674.7 ft
Llano 326Sandy Creek 0Pedernales 10
Heading for Lake Buchanan
66 cfs
131 acre-feet a day on the Colorado near San Saba, which already carries the San Saba River
NWS forecast: the Llano River at Llano crests near 16.1 ft, moderate flooding, Fri 5 AM with about 49,700 cfs. That water joins Lake LBJ at Kingsland.
Llano River near Junction
Above action stageJoins Lake LBJ at Kingsland
15.66 ft · 25,215 cfs · action 12 ft · flood 16 ft
NWS forecast: crests near 18.2 ft, minor flooding, Thu 7 PM with about 35,600 cfs.
Every gauge as a table
| Gauge | Stage | Action | Flood | Flow | NWS crest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llano River near JunctionAbove action stage | 15.66 ft | 12 ft | 16 ft | 25,215 cfs | 18.2 ft |
| Llano River near MasonAbove action stage | 11.75 ft | 11 ft | 18 ft | 5,594 cfs | 20.4 ft |
| Llano River at Llano | 2.35 ft | 10 ft | 10 ft | 326 cfs | 16.1 ft |
| Pedernales River near Fredericksburg | 7.76 ft | 12 ft | 22 ft | 10 cfs | — |
| Pedernales River near Johnson City | 10.29 ft | 13 ft | 14 ft | 10 cfs | — |
| Sandy Creek at Hwy 71 near Kingsland | 4.77 ft | 8 ft | 12 ft | 0 cfs | 9.1 ft |
| San Saba River at Menard | 2.84 ft | 8 ft | 18 ft | 31 cfs | — |
| San Saba River near Brady | 2.34 ft | 16 ft | 18 ft | 35 cfs | — |
| San Saba River at San Saba | 2.91 ft | 20 ft | 24 ft | 56 cfs | — |
| Colorado River at Winchell | 1.19 ft | 24 ft | 26 ft | 0 cfs | — |
| Colorado River near San Saba | 2.10 ft | 25 ft | 30 ft | 66 cfs | — |
| Colorado River at Austin | 13.57 ft | 25 ft | 33 ft | 328 cfs | 18.7 ft |
| Colorado River at Bastrop | 3.69 ft | 14 ft | 23 ft | 1,116 cfs | 8.6 ft |
| Colorado River at Smithville | 2.09 ft | 10 ft | 20 ft | 902 cfs | 5.9 ft |
| Colorado River above La Grange | 3.75 ft | 19 ft | 26 ft | 983 cfs | 8.6 ft |
| Colorado River at Columbus | 10.16 ft | 30 ft | 34 ft | 974 cfs | 14.4 ft |
| Colorado River at Wharton | 8.26 ft | 20 ft | 39 ft | 495 cfs | 14.1 ft |
| Colorado River at Bay City | 3.35 ft | 23 ft | 44 ft | 747 cfs | 8.5 ft |
| Colorado River at Matagorda | 2.23 ft | 4.8 ft | 8.8 ft | — | 3.4 ft |
| Onion Creek at Buda | 1.27 ft | 8 ft | 15 ft | 0 cfs | — |
| Onion Creek at Hwy 183, Austin | 4.00 ft | 15 ft | 17 ft | 0 cfs | — |
A rising Llano reaches Lake LBJ first and Lake Travis a day or so later; the Pedernales comes straight into Travis. Gauges and stages are LCRA’s and the National Weather Service’s; the lake-rise figures are this site’s arithmetic from the Lake Travis storage curve, before releases and evaporation. Unofficial copy of LCRA’s river levels.